2012 Presidential Election Prediction Research & Event

The American Political Science Association holds a traditional (and fun) event where political scientists use data modeling to predict the winner of the U.S. presidential election. In 2012, my job as the public engagement coordinator was to promote the research and gain earned media. I was also responsible for holding a media event at the National Press Club.

Earned media coverage examples:

• Milwaukee Journal Sentinel. "Romney's October surge heightens election drama in Wisconsin." 10/17/2012

• Scripps Howard Foundation Wire. "Professor-created models predict Obama will barely win 2012 election." 10/17/2012

• The Economist's Democracy in America blog, "Mitt Romney's comeback: Back where we began." 10/10/2012

• Slate, "A Ray of Hope: Why today was a good day for Mitt Romney." 10/1/2012

• ISU Newsroom, "Professor predicts Obama to receive 51.3 percent of popular vote." 10/1/2012

• Washington Post, "Romney or Obama? Political scientists make their predictions." 9/30/2012

• United Press International, "Political scientists project Obama win." 9/30/2012

• USA TODAY OnPolitics, "8 of 13 forecasts say Obama wins popular vote." 9/20/2012

• The Buffalo News, "UB prof's much anticipated prediction: tilting Obama." 9/19/2012

• The Washington Times. "Inside the Beltway: 'Big sticks.'" 9/19/2012

• Washington Post Wonkblog, "Forecasting the election: Most models say Obama will win. But not all." 8/31/2012

• Washington Post Wonkblog, "Obama leads in (at least) eight of 13 election forecasts." 9/14/2012